Let me see if I have this straight. A group of scientists predicts that a “monster hurricane” is going to hit the East Coast, and based on nothing more than the strength of their predictions governors up and down the coast declare states of emergency, mobilize the National Guard and prepare evacuation orders. Meanwhile, the Navy orders ships out to sea, utility companies warn of massive outages and we spend tens of millions of dollars on storm preparations. Yet, when a similar group of scientists predicts that global warming is going to happen, we do nothing.
Now, if I were a hurricane skeptic, I could easily argue that all this preparation is foolish. The scientists aren’t sure. It’s all based on computer simulations and spotty data. They can’t even pin down precisely where the storm will make land-fall. It could be anywhere from Virginia to New England. Have you seen their spaghetti maps? First they said it was going to hit Sunday, then they changed it to Monday. Who knows? Maybe it won’t come until Tuesday. Sure, they say the storm might cause up to $billion in damage, but can we really be sure? Obviously we need more studies to eliminate the uncertainty before we spend any tax payer dollars on their unproven forecasts.
It could all be a conspiracy. Those weather “scientists” might just be using this as a way to get more money for research and satellites. I’ll bet all that “research” is being funded by the sandbag industry. They’re probably sitting at their computers right now, sending off emails to each other about ways to deceive the public. It’s just a bunch of liberal, elitist alarmists. Republican Representative Darrell Issa and Republican Senator James Inhofemay want to hold congressional hearings to get at the truth behind this Sandy scandal. Maybe they could label it Stormgate.
On the other hand, what if it’s not some sort of eco-scam. Maybe the hurricane is going to hit and we should listen to the scientists. Sometimes it makes sense to prepare for the worst, even if there is some uncertainty. Of course, if that’s true, we might have to admit that the scientists do know what they are talking about. Their computer models are accurate. They’re not just a bunch of meteorological charlatans out to further their own political agendas, but instead, they’re highly trained professionals, acting ethically, precisely the way scientists are supposed to act.
If that’s true of meteorologists, what if it’s true of climate scientists as well? Wouldn’t it make more sense to take their warnings seriously too, and do something now, before the worst happens?